Fatigue Life Prediction of the Pin Coupling with Elastic Sleeves Based on Transient Dynamics and the ARIMA Model

Hu Yuming; Xiong Xin; Guo Kai

doi:10.16578/j.issn.1004.2539.2024.04.002

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Fatigue Life Prediction of the Pin Coupling with Elastic Sleeves Based on Transient Dynamics and the ARIMA Model

Theory·Research | 更新时间：2024-04-19

- Fatigue Life Prediction of the Pin Coupling with Elastic Sleeves Based on Transient Dynamics and the ARIMA Model
- Journal of Mechanical Transmission Vol. 48, Issue 4, Pages: 9-17(2024)
- 作者机构：
  
  1.昆明理工大学信息工程与自动化学院，云南昆明 650500
  2.昆明理工大学云南省人工智能重点实验室，云南昆明 650500
- 作者简介：
- 基金信息：
- DOI：10.16578/j.issn.1004.2539.2024.04.002
  CLC：
- Published：15 April 2024，
  
  Received：22 December 2022，
  
  Revised：13 February 2023，
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胡玉明,熊新,郭凯.基于瞬态动力学和ARIMA模型的弹性套柱销联轴器疲劳寿命预测[J].机械传动,2024,48(04):9-17.

Hu Yuming,Xiong Xin,Guo Kai.Fatigue Life Prediction of the Pin Coupling with Elastic Sleeves Based on Transient Dynamics and the ARIMA Model[J].Journal of Mechanical Transmission,2024,48(04):9-17.
胡玉明,熊新,郭凯.基于瞬态动力学和ARIMA模型的弹性套柱销联轴器疲劳寿命预测[J].机械传动,2024,48(04):9-17. DOI： 10.16578/j.issn.1004.2539.2024.04.002.

Hu Yuming,Xiong Xin,Guo Kai.Fatigue Life Prediction of the Pin Coupling with Elastic Sleeves Based on Transient Dynamics and the ARIMA Model[J].Journal of Mechanical Transmission,2024,48(04):9-17. DOI： 10.16578/j.issn.1004.2539.2024.04.002.

摘要

为深入研究弹性套柱销联轴器平行不对中故障对疲劳寿命的影响，在瞬态动力学分析的基础上，分析得到了不同平行不对中程度对疲劳寿命的影响，并基于瞬态动力学疲劳分析数据，结合差分自回归移动平均（Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average，ARIMA）模型，实现了弹性套柱销联轴器的疲劳寿命预测。结果表明，弹性套柱销联轴器的最低疲劳寿命随平行不对中程度的增大而降低；当平行不对中程度低于2.63%时，最低疲劳寿命的下降程度逐渐增大；平行不对中程度为4.74%的疲劳寿命预测值为1.214 0×10

，预测值与仿真值之间的相对误差为0.22%，说明了ARIMA模型预测疲劳寿命的可靠性。研究结果可为弹性套柱销联轴器的抗疲劳优化设计提供指导。

Abstract

In order to deeply study the influence of parallel misalignment failure on fatigue life of pin couplings with elastic sleeves

on the basis of transient dynamic analysis

the influence of different degrees of parallel misalignment on fatigue life is obtained. Based on transient dynamic fatigue analysis data

combined with the differential autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model

the fatigue life prediction of pin couplings with elastic sleeves is realized. The results show that the minimum fatigue life of pin couplings with elastic sleeves decreases with the increase of the degree of parallel misalignment

and when the degree of parallel misalignment is less than 2.63%

the decrease of minimum fatigue life increases gradually. The predicted fatigue life of 4.74% parallel misalignment is 1.214 0×10

and the relative error between the predicted value and the simulation value is 0.22%

indicating the reliability of the ARIMA model in predicting fatigue life. The research results can provide guidance for the anti-fatigue optimization design of pin couplings with elastic sleeves.

关键词

弹性套柱销联轴器平行不对中瞬态动力学疲劳寿命

Keywords

Pin coupling with elastic sleeveParallel misalignmentTransient dynamicsFatigue life

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